Our first needs-based, no-trade mock
We at Underdog plan on pumping out many mock drafts over the next two months, and this will be our first.
We do not agree with all of these picks, or rather, if we were the GMs of these teams, we would not be making this decisions, but they are the picks we expect these teams and GMs to make based on needs and league talks.
We are not including anticipated trades in this mock either; those mocks will come later.
And just one more time, *this mock draft is based on the perspective of the GMs in the league, and are not necessarily who I would select if I were these teams.*
But it’s mock draft season, so here’s who we’ve got:
Barring a trade, Bosa is going number 1. He is the best player in the draft. Williams will add a lot of talent to a young defensive line in San Francisco, who will have a huge year with Garopollo coming back. We at Underdog don’t have high expectations for Josh Allen, who has great upside but may struggle in the NFL, but the Jets will take him at 3 anyways.
Jon Gruden will want his QB in the draft, and so far he really likes Lock. The Raiders might be the one that trades up to solidify the first overall pick, as we mentioned in our draft analysis article. The Bucs take the best coverage-corner in the draft, to help their struggling secondary.
In this mock draft, we assume that the Giants wise up and draft a QB. If they really wise up, they’ll notice that Kyler Murray is the best QB in the draft, and could make for a very dangerous New York offense when paired with Saquon Barkley and Odell Beckham Jr. We also assume that the Jaguars sign a QB, likely named Nick Foles, and decide to add offensive firepower. N’Keal Harry is often seen as the most polished, NFL-ready receiver in the draft.
The Lions will look to strengthen a weakening pass-rush, and add a stud in Rashan Gary. Gary can play DT and DE. The Bills take the best lineman in the draft and lock up the position for a long time with Jonah Williams, and the Broncos take the best QB available (by their standards, not quite ours), and draft Haskins at 10.
The Bengals fix their linebacker woes with the most touted coverage linebacker I’ve seen in a long time, and the Packers get arguably the best player in the draft as a steal at twelve. I see the Dolphins taking a QB in the first round, and it being the wrong one, as Grier and Stidham are still on the board. The Falcons draft a lineman who can play inside and outside, and Washington gets their hopeful franchise QB with a guy who went to school just west of D.C.
At sixteen the Panthers try to replace Julius Peppers with a great prospect in Ferrell. Next, the Browns take a defensive lineman to work next to Myles Garrett as a best (defensive) player available to bolster their defense. The Vikings also go best player available, but on the offensive line. For a team that needs O-line help, they choose a stud tackle, and figure out how to shift the line later.
The Titans add another first-round WR to try to maximize Mariota’s potential for the times that he is healthy, and the Steelers take a WR to try to replace Antonio Brown.
|24||Raiders (From Bears)||Josh Jacobs||RB|
Seattle continues to recreate their defense with a well-rounded CB prospect in Mullen. At 22, the Ravens add youth to their pass-rush with a Florida State defender. Houston tries to fix their offensive line with a highly regarded lineman in Ford.
The Raiders take a best player available selection here, grabbing Josh Jacobs to establish more youth and “Gruden guys” in the backfield.
I have Philadelphia drafting Christian Wilkins. Wilkins did not make the Underdog top 50 players big board, as a result of the film watched on Wilkins. Production-wise, Wilkins is a top-notch prospect, but we at Underdog have thus far seen him to be overrated. Perhaps Wilkins was seen as such a great player because of the benefits of being on a line next to Clelin Ferrell and Dexter Lawrence, or maybe we just haven’t watched enough film on him just yet. Matt Miller, however, has him at 31 on his big board.
Expect an article with expanded film study of Wilkins in the near future.
|27||Raiders (From Cowboys)||Devin Bush||LB|
|30||Packers (From Saints)||Montez Sweat||EDGE|
We finish this mock draft with the final seven picks, beginning with the Colts’ selection of Deionte Thompson, who is widely considered (except at Underdog) to be the top safety in the draft. The Raiders, again, take the best player available by drafting LB Devin Bush. Jawaan Taylor goes to LA at 28, as the Chargers want offensive line help or linebacker help, and get Taylor just after Bush is drafted.
The Chiefs are trying to build up a secondary and take Underdog’s best (and favorite) corner, Deandre Baker, who has experience playing close to the box, and is a physical guy. The Packers take Montez Sweat to flank Ed Oliver, suddenly adding talented youth to the Green Bay defense.
The Rams replace Ndamukon Suh with another huge defensive tackle with Dexter Lawrence out of Clemson, and the Patriots also take a defensive tackle, being Raekwon Davis out of Alabama.
So, how much do you disagree? This is my first mock for this year, and I plan on having plenty more leading up to the draft using different theories and perspectives, until our final, locked in mock.
It’s going to be a great mock season.